
Where’s the Bottom for Yahoo?
Last year I started looking into whether or not Yahoo (Symbol: YHOO) might rebound. I determined that if they did, it would be quite some time. And it looks like I was right.
This month has been particularly hard for Yahoo stockholders. Just one month ago Yahoo’s stock was at $23.80. Today, it fell to $19.18—a 24% decline. So we’ve got to ask the question. Just where is the bottom for Yahoo?
Recently news came out that Yahoo would lay off as many as 1,000 workers. Alarms are going off. The last time Yahoo had a massive layoff was about seven years ago. They were trying to survive.
If the company was overly bloated, the 1,000 layoffs might come as good news for shareholders, but this isn’t the case. Yahoo is starting to sink fast. Could they partner with or be bought by Microsoft Corp. to forge a bigger presence, which may help get back some market share from Google? Time will tell.
Think things will get better soon? It’s highly unlikely. Even Yahoo co-founder and CEO, Jerry Yang, said that a big payoff for the company wouldn’t happen before 2009. “This sort of transition takes time,” Yang said.
But, let’s not get overly technical about Yahoo’s business model, which is very reliant on advertising. We only need to know one item of data to see that Yahoo’s stock can still sink.
Advertising on the Internet continues its explosive growth—just look at Google—yet Yahoo’s revenue from advertising is declining.
Recently, Yahoo reported that net income for the fourth quarter was down $63 million from the same period in 2006.
Could we see a dip in Yahoo’s stock to $15-$17? I think it’s highly possible.



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Comment by Joe — February 1, 2008 @ 11:00 am
Microsoft has made a bid for Yahoo. The $44.6 billion offer comes in at $31 per share.
It’s going to be a fun ride. Microsoft has basically said that they won’t be taking no for an answer.
Comment by Jason Martin — February 2, 2008 @ 8:51 pm
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Comment by Lilly — April 4, 2008 @ 3:25 pm
Yahoo lost the search engine battle to google long ago, I’m surprised they have lasted this long. Without some major restructuring, how can their stock ever rebound? I don’t know where the bottom is, but if Yahoo does not do something soon, we will surely find out.
Comment by Repay — May 22, 2008 @ 6:22 pm